John McCain's supporters aren't going to convince conservatives to vote for McCain by calling them names and telling them what they HAVE to do. If you think he can win without conservatives, you are out of your mind. He wouldn't even be where he was at now if he hadn't won in states where independents and democrats crossed over to vote for him, while Duncan Hunter, Fred Thompson, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, & Mike Huckabee split the conservative vote. McCain has to move right NOT left, because most of his positions are left of center already. He has to convince his base to vote for him, and demeaning them and talking down to them isn't going to do that. That goes for his supporters too. If you can't show some respect to those of us who have honest principled issues with him, then you are not going to change our minds. John McCain's win isn't an indication that conservatism is dead, it is an indication that a liberal can win our nomination by splitting the conservative votes. Here are the number of actual votes each candidate got according to CNN:
Rudy Guiliani - 537,789
Mike Huckabee - 2,347,746
Duncan Hunter - 7,879
John McCain - 4,816,946
Ron Paul - 533,547
Mitt Romney - 4,012,981
Fred Thompson - 142,820
By my calculations, assuming that those who voted for John McCain and Giuliani are moderate to liberal that is a total of 5,354,735 moderates and liberals. Assuming that those tending to be conservative voted for the other candidates (less Ron Paul - for those of you who argue he isn't conservative) that makes a total of 6,511,426 who lean conservative. If you added on Ron Paul's votes, that makes 7,044,973 leaning conservative. If McCain only lost the ones who voted for Romney, and he lost almost all of the democrats who crossed over, he would be in big trouble. Republicans didn't move left, they just got screwed because they split their votes. If you consider the remaining states to vote, they lean more conservative i.e South Dakota, Louisiana (with their new conservative governor), and Kansas, I think that indicates that McCain better start showing some love. He has nine months to convince us that he won't screw us over the way he has screwed our party over time after time. I am not sure he can do it. He keeps saying that he can work with Democrats. We don't doubt that, but can he work with Republicans?
Friday, February 8, 2008
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